Lillie's Determination
| ebay.unknown | n=3 | €69,75 | +75% |
| ebay.es | n=24 | €67,96 | +70% |
| ebay.nl | n=17 | €67,95 | +70% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=32 | €60,62 | +52% |
| ebay.de | n=257 | €57,08 | +43% |
| ebay.com | n=321 | €55,79 | +40% |
| ebay.fr | n=16 | €47,25 | +18% |
| ebay.it | n=5 | €39,90 | — |
How is this value calculated?
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 165 | 19 d | €59,92 | 1346.94 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9054 | 5 | 2 mo | €60,37 | 17.51 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 1.0033 | 4 | 2 mo | €54,97 | 4.33 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.7511 | 80 | 19 d | €26,57 | 1.08 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 7.8478 | 126 | 22 d | €17,18 | 0.35 |
| fr roh NM × 0.8411 (Sprach-Faktor aus 80 Karten) | 7 | 2 mo | €41,11 | 14.39 |
| it roh NM × 0.9198 (Sprach-Faktor aus 55 Karten) | 3 | 2 mo | €27,04 | 8.47 |
| de roh NM × 0.9871 (Sprach-Faktor aus 83 Karten) | 33 | 49 d | €44,42 | 6.48 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set +12% nachgeführt | 33 | 49 d | €48,54 | 269.39 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.7511 · Set +12% nachgeführt | 5 | 58 d | €38,11 | 1.07 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 7.8478 | 5 | 36 d | €22,81 | 0.35 |
| fr roh NM × 0.8042 (Sprach-Faktor aus 75 Karten) · Set +12% nachgeführt | 7 | 2 mo | €42,40 | 6.38 |
| en roh NM × 1.0131 (Sprach-Faktor aus 83 Karten) | 165 | 19 d | €60,70 | 6.04 |
| it roh NM × 0.9621 (Sprach-Faktor aus 55 Karten) · Set +12% nachgeführt | 3 | 2 mo | €30,51 | 3.65 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 7 | 2 mo | €48,88 | 57.14 |
| en roh NM × 1.1889 (Sprach-Faktor aus 80 Karten) | 165 | 19 d | €71,24 | 12.91 |
| de roh NM × 1.2435 (Sprach-Faktor aus 75 Karten) | 33 | 49 d | €55,96 | 7.3 |
| it roh NM × 1.105 (Sprach-Faktor aus 52 Karten) | 3 | 2 mo | €32,49 | 4.2 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 3 | 2 mo | €29,40 | 24.49 |
| en roh NM × 1.0873 (Sprach-Faktor aus 55 Karten) | 165 | 19 d | €65,15 | 13.68 |
| fr roh NM × 0.9051 (Sprach-Faktor aus 52 Karten) | 7 | 2 mo | €44,24 | 5.79 |
| de roh NM × 1.0394 (Sprach-Faktor aus 55 Karten) | 33 | 49 d | €46,77 | 3.91 |
Cap: 2× no buyer from €39,00 € → clamped to €39,00 × 0.95 = €37,05 € (ladder said €40,28 €).
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±15 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 184/132?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about €153,43, raw the card sits at €60,31 — 2,5× as much. Of 9.749 copies already graded, 51 % received a 10 and 39 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns €103,01 on average, before fees and shipping. So submitting only pays off if the card truly hits a 10 — at any lower grade little remains after fees. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 184/132?
Across 257 auctions the median was €53,94, across 375 fixed-price sales €60,17. Fixed price therefore fetched about 12 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 184/132 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between €51,38 and €61,91, with a median of €56,39. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 184/132 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around €45,11. Offers well below €27,07 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 184/132 worth more?
From real sales: English €56,65 (605), French €49,61 (16), German €41,10 (44). English fetches about 38 % more.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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